Research on the Influence Mechanism of Migration:Based on the Climate Change and Regional Differences
Deng Hongqian1,2 Liu Mengxiao1 Shao Sheng1
1.School of Economics and Business Administration, Central China Normal University, Wuhan 430079;2.Hubei Real Estate Development Research Center, Central China Normal University, Wuhan 430079
Abstract:Climate change affects human behavior. Based on the panel data of temperature precipitation and migrate population in provincial capitals and planned cities from 2000 to 2018, the fixed effect and differential GMM method can be used to test the influence of temperature change and precipitation change on migration. There is a significant linear negative correlation between temperature change and migration, and there is regional heterogeneity. The inhibitory effect of temperature rise on population flow in eastern and central regions is significantly higher than that in western and northeastern regions. There is a significant positive linear correlation between precipitation change and population mobility, and there is regional heterogeneity. The promotion effect of precipitation increase on population mobility in the eastern region is significantly higher than that in other regions of the country. Based on this, this paper puts forward corresponding suggestions for coping with the phenomenon of regional temperature rise and insufficient precipitation, so as to reduce the inhibitory effect of adverse factors of climate change on migration, and then solve the problem of “environmental migration” effectively。
邓宏乾, 刘梦晓 邵 胜. 人口流动的影响机制研究——基于气候变化及区域差异[J]. 华中师范大学学报(人文社会科学版), 2020, 59(5): 59-72.
Deng Hongqian, Liu Mengxiao Shao Sheng. Research on the Influence Mechanism of Migration:Based on the Climate Change and Regional Differences. journal1, 2020, 59(5): 59-72.