Abstract:Accurately assessing the net effect of “China-Europe Railway Express” competition on regional export trade is an important prerequisite for objectively evaluating the construction efficiency of the CR express in Yangtze River Economic Belt and guiding the opening of the new era of “land and sea planning”. This paper uses the 2005-2017 quarterly data of 29 provinces (excluding Henan, Tibet) in China, with PSM processing and using multi-period DID and DDD methods to demonstrate the impact of this policy event on the export growth of the Yangtze River Economic Belt. The study found that, compared to the national and other regional areas, the opening of the CR express in the Yangtze River Economic Belt has significantly promoted the growth of regional export trade, and the policy effect has a lag period of one quarter. The influence of the opening of the CR express in Yangtze River Economic Belt on the different regions is spatially heterogeneous. The export promotion effect on the upper, middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River by the CR express showed a gradient decreasing trend. The promotion effect of the CR express on the Yangtze River Economic Belt benefit from the reform of the regional “free trade zone”, instead of the “land and water combined transport” mechanism.
龚勤林,余川江,罗 宸. 中欧班列开通对长江经济带出口贸易的影响及机制研究[J]. 华中师范大学学报(自然科学版), 2019, 53(5): 671-684.
GONG Qinlin,YU Chuanjiang,LUO Chen. Research on the influence and mechanism of China-Europe Railway Express in the Yangtze River Economic Belt on the export trade. journal1, 2019, 53(5): 671-684.