Abstract：Based on the data set of eleven years independent test of Wuhan precipitation anomalies (in percent of normal) in June and July by three models, the ensemble forecasting technique is investigated. Through four schemes, six ensemble forecasting models are established. Compared with the raw models, the total error of the ensemble forecasting model is reduced. By different ensemble forecasting technique the weighting coefficient of the same raw model may be changed. Forecasting ability of the ensemble model depends greatly on the raw model.
收稿日期: 1999-03-25
引用本文:
杨荆安,张鸿雁. 短期气候预测的预报集成方法试验研究[J]. , 1999, 38(3): 0-0.
杨荆安,张鸿雁. The ensemble forecasting study for short term climate prediction. , 1999, 38(3): 0-0.
