Comparative analysis of the early transmission characteristics of COVID-19 epidemic between Shandong Province in China and South Korea based on the SEIR model
SHAO Junjie, YU Shixiong, GAO Jingjing, YUAN Ming, LU Zhong, JIANG Nan
School of Environmental Ecology and Biological Engineering, Wuhan Institute of Technology, Wuhan 430205, China
Abstract:Outbreaking at the end of 2019, the new coronary pneumonia epidemic (COVID-19) has spread in most countries and regions of the world, prompting governments of various countries to introduce different levels of control measures. Different from various prediction models for epidemic changes, the classic SEIR model was used to carry out a retrospective analysis forthe propagation dynamics of COVID-19 in Shandong Province of China and South Korea. The significant differences between Shandong Province of China and South Korea were then compared and discussed for their exposed populations, infection numbers, diagnose numbers and cure rates. On this basis, by comparing the announcements of the first prevention and control measures in Shandong Province of China and South Korea, the positive significances were discussedto keep strict and rapid physical isolation and maintain efficient medical treatment in the early stage of the epidemic to interrupt the spread of COVID-19.
邵俊杰,禹世雄,高婧婧,袁 鸣,吕 中,江 南. 基于SEIR模型的中国山东省与韩国COVID-19疫情早期传播特征比较分析[J]. 华中师范大学学报(自然科学版), 2020, 54(6): 1072-1077.
SHAO Junjie,YU Shixiong,GAO Jingjing,YUAN Ming,LU Zhong,JIANG Nan. Comparative analysis of the early transmission characteristics of COVID-19 epidemic between Shandong Province in China and South Korea based on the SEIR model. journal1, 2020, 54(6): 1072-1077.