Abstract：In this paper， a survival analysis method is utilized to quantify the survival time of China's science and technology innovation policy from 2006 to 2019. An analysis framework of “policy tools-policy goals” is constructed， with the relevant factors affecting the stability of science and technology innovation policy explored. The study found that China’s science and technology innovation policy has better survival at the level of hybrid policy tools， less stability of mandatory policy tools， and centering of voluntary policy tools； task-oriented policy targets have better stability than diffusion-oriented policy targets. The intensity of technology introduction and the efficiency of the transformation of scientific and technological achievements still need to be improved. At this stage， national science and technology innovation activities are still led by the government， and the participation of enterprises， scientific research institutes， universities and other subjects is insufficient. The study found some practical implications for improving the efficiency of policy implementation and accelerating the construction of an innovative country.
樊 霞,王奥希. 基于生存分析的国家科技创新政策稳定性研究[J]. 华中师范大学学报(自然科学版), 2021, 55(1): 147-155.
FAN Xia,WANG Aoxi. Research on the stability of national science and technology innovation policy based on survival analysis. journal1, 2021, 55(1): 147-155.
2021, Vol. 55 
